Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 17.068103 19.842756 22.857638 26.368173 30.334388 34.667266 39.749335
2025-05-25 12.095721 15.827666 20.295520 25.995485 33.026534 41.365151 51.947292
2025-06-01 9.093586 13.100302 18.283976 25.385314 34.749698 46.553602 62.415560
2025-06-08 6.881065 10.797691 16.221428 24.120052 35.137275 49.741167 70.298947
2025-06-15 5.953197 10.028941 15.996871 25.126870 38.440873 56.795923 83.575387
2025-06-22 5.094235 9.175796 15.471379 25.548283 40.846806 62.690939 95.585085
2025-06-29 4.219439 8.123726 14.462565 25.064225 41.792314 66.484526 104.786673
2025-07-06 3.425237 7.051422 13.246562 24.063695 41.780807 68.777651 111.848696
2025-07-13 3.184301 6.909471 13.531071 25.481551 45.617694 77.043186 128.242703
2025-07-20 2.943308 6.721724 13.699622 26.696707 49.190798 85.091996 144.737372
2025-07-27 2.664029 6.408181 13.593974 27.405477 51.949344 91.991492 159.793431
2025-08-03 2.377956 6.028550 13.310338 27.749635 54.084904 97.980189 173.690093
2025-08-10 2.016469 5.450504 12.627138 27.397961 55.179081 102.663114 186.342546
2025-08-17 1.678812 4.860812 11.847752 26.800173 55.833010 106.753999 198.478577
2025-08-24 1.392713 4.324383 11.089416 26.137859 56.284208 110.501416 210.251083
2025-08-31 1.111481 3.724878 10.087186 24.834261 55.363714 111.724862 217.714268
2025-09-07 1.023132 3.621496 10.191696 25.865613 59.061293 121.456941 240.563790
2025-09-14 0.910601 3.420745 10.032502 26.297495 61.584810 129.177503 260.239683
2025-09-21 0.767311 3.087624 9.491404 25.801167 62.153185 133.264488 273.556320
2025-09-28 0.624192 2.709631 8.765296 24.775232 61.499287 134.952523 282.524290
2025-10-05 0.597859 2.718144 9.066627 26.229040 66.272300 147.418544 312.191719
2025-10-12 0.564790 2.694235 9.274774 27.474788 70.679950 159.399802 341.496892
2025-10-19 0.516999 2.602335 9.275937 28.201312 73.984499 169.358599 367.400997